This guy (an Obama supporter) is theorizing that the reason Hillary Clinton won the primary in New Hampshire, confounding pollsters, is that whereas in Iowa, people voted by raising their hands, 81 percent of New Hampshire precincts used Diebold voting machines. He has interesting diagrams posted to support his theory. But near the end of the thread is this comment from New Hampshire volunteer, an Obama supporter, who actually counted the votes that night in his precinct:
January 10, 2008 at 11:07 am
Thanks for the data. I too looked at it and I don’t trust the “Diebold Factor” either.
However, I must say this… I live in central NH and I volunteered in our small town to work on the voter checklist and to count votes on Tuesday evening. I’ve been doing this for over 15 years now, so you can see the trends happening as you start counting the votes.
Turnout was huge… we had almost 200 new voter registrations this week. Many, of them young people, but ‘lot’s’ of women, young and old. About 1,700 votes were cast in our town, so new voters made up about 10%-12% of the total. (Note: These people never got ‘polled’ in the lead up to the primary because they are ‘not’ on the voter checklist prior to election day.)
My counting partner and I counted 201 of the democratic (paper) ballots after the polls closed. I was hoping Obama would win, but the Clinton votes kept adding up.
At the end of the counting Clinton had 80 out of the 201 votes we hand counted… Obama had 63. That’s 40% to 32% in our small sampling. This ‘trend’ was pretty darn close to the final results.
925 Democratic ballots were cast in our town… Clinton got 37%, Obama 32%, Edwards 22%, and others got the rest.
As much as I’d like to blame it all on Diebold… and I don’t trust those machines for a minute… she beat him fair and square in our small town.
One other thing… if you look at the town by town results… look for Hanover & Lebanon (Dartmouth), Plymouth… (Plymouth State Univ), Durham (UNH), Henniker (N.E. College), New London (Colby Coll.) and Keene (Keene State College).
Obama carried those towns easily, but he didn’t do well in the mill towns like Berlin, Gorham, Franklin and other traditional blue collar communities.
The Obama kids were ‘jumpin,’ came to my house several times. My guess…they were dyin’ to fill out every survey and poll they could find!
Working Moms? Survey? Poll? “Sorry young fella…I just got out of work…I barely had time to vote…I’ve gotta get home and cook dinner, clean the house and get the kids ready for bed… no time for a silly exit poll.”
This is encouraging, that “lots” of women, young and old turned out! And this report is reassuring as to the validity of the New Hampshire results. But why are precincts using Diebold Accuvote machines after what we’ve been through in the last two presidential elections? Surely they could figure out something else! You wonder if we will ever recover from the scandals and corruption of the Bush regime.